Kerry's Calculus
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Kerry's Calculus Archives |
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Kerry's Articles for 2008
Catching Up With The Drafted Pitchers - July 23...The first three rounds since 1990 aren't pretty.
Seeing Is Believing - July 10...What I learned during Belfry Week
Onward and, Hopefully, Upward - June 23
Worrisome Sign? Have All the Recent Comebacks Masked Starting Pitching Woes? - June 18
Rebuilding: Firmly On The Road But Still A Long Way To Go - March 27
The
Good, the Bad and the Ugly: The 2007 Orioles
Offense, Position-by-Position - January 14
Kerry's Articles for 2007
The Twelfth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award: An Internet Tradition for More than 1/10 of a Century - December 31...It's Fiesta Time!
The Roster, Looking Ahead - August 6...Looking at today's roster with 2008 in mind
Game Over - June 18...Seeing the forest clear cut for what it is
Some Good News For A Change - May 31...The Pitching Staff Has Kicked It Into High Gear
The Offensive Offense: An Update - May 25...It's (Mostly) About the Lack of Home Runs, Stupid
In Sam's Favor... - May 21...Is one relationship enough to keep Perlozzo on the job?
Turning the Crank - May 3...Are the Orioles really as bad as their record in the last ten games?
Half-Full or Half-Empty? - April 23...Reasons for Optimism and Pessimism in Light of the O's Solid Start
Kerry's Articles for 2006
The Eleventh Annual Kerry's Piņata Award: An Internet Tradition for More than 1/10 of a Century - December 13...It's Fiesta Time once again!
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: The 2006 Orioles Offense, Position-by-Position - December 2
Britton for Wright - November 13...What this Implies for the Future
No Quick Fixes - August 16...It's long past time for the Orioles to fully commit to the rebuilding process
Now That The Dust Has Settled: The Orioles After the Trading Deadline - August 1...There's pitching in them thar hills
Welcome To Oblivion: Early Steps the Orioles Can Take to Begin to Escape Purgatory - July 10
Bandbox Revisited, 2005: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards - June 5
The Gasping and Wheezing Continues - June 2...You May Want to Cover Your Eyes as We Assess the Plight of the O's Minor League Position Players
Fan Interest and the Orioles: Can it Recover? - April 28...The White Sox as a case study
The
Curious Saga of Daniel Cabrera, Part II - April 18...Additional
considerations following the third start turnaround
The
Curious Saga of Daniel Cabrera - April 16...Composed thoughts on the
big right-handers early season struggles and what the club may be thinking about
it
Baseball Digest's 2006
Predictions - March 5...A tradition continues
Twin Lakes: The Other Side of the Spring Training Site Problem - Feb. 17...More on Spring Training Site Woes
2006 Fantasy Camp Diary
Day Six: Rainout -- February 4
Day Five: The Playoffs Begin -- February 3
Day Four - February 2
Day Three - February 1
Q & A with Sam Perlozzo - February 1
Day Two - January 31
Day One Action - January 30
Veteran's Tournament Day 2 - January 29
Veteran's Tournament Day 1 - January 29
Preparations - January 28
Kerry's Articles for 2005
A Crisis of Credibility: The Franchise at a Crossroads - December 31
The Tenth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award: An Internet Tradition for More than 1/10 of a Century - November 22...It's Fiesta Time!
A Backwards Offense: The Orioles, and Baseball, Position-by-Position, 2005 - November 18
The
End of an Ignominious Era: Finally Chicago Baseball Fans Are the Ones
Cheering At Season's End - October 27
Meet Me in St. Louis:
A Photographic Essay - August 31
Breaking Down a Broken Down Offense: Why the Orioles Aren't Scoring - July 26...A look at some splits proves highly revealing
The Second Half: What Has to Happen for the Orioles to Contend the Rest of the Way - July 14
Dissecting Pythagoras: A Historical Examination - June 22...The Pythagorean Theorem through the ages
Farm Pen - June 10...Four Orioles minor league relievers to keep a close eye on
A
Glance Down the Road - May 23...Where the roster is and where it may be
headed
Decision
Time: What to Do In Light of the Matos Injury - May 11...A sense that a
crossroads has been reached, early in the season
Transcendental Meditation & the Orioles: An Interview - May 6
Yankee Hater, Haiku Lover - May 2...Assessing the first month (plus a day) of the Yankees' season using haiku
The Life of Riley- April 6...Assessing the Trade
The 90+ Win Scenario - March 14...A Semi-Numerical Glance at How the Orioles May Just Get Over the Hump
An Interview With Mike Flanagan - February 25...The Orioles Vice President Covers a Wide Range of Topics
What We Think We Know - February 21...Remembering One of Life's Little Truisms
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Final Wrap Up - Feb. 6
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Last Day of Camp - Feb. 5
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Luck Is the Factor of the Day - Feb. 4
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Final Day of the Regular Tournament - Feb. 3
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: A Short Day - Feb. 2
2005 Fantasy Camp: GM Night - Feb. 2
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Day Two Action - Feb. 1
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Day One with the Grizzlies - Jan. 31
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Veteran's Tournament Day 2 - Jan. 30
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Veteran's Tournament Day 1 - Jan. 29
2005 Fantasy Camp Diary: Preparing for Camp - Jan. 28
Bandbox Revisited,
2004: A
Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards - January 26...Updated through the
2004 season
Feast or Famine:
The 2004 Offense, By Position - January 7...Where the 2004 Orioles rank,
position by position
The Baltimore Orioles of Poughkeepsie - January 5...Behind the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Kerry's Articles for 2004
THE NINTH ANNUAL KERRY'S PIŅATA AWARD - December 20...A Web tradition since 1996!
DeMacio & The Draft: Part V - The 2002 Draft: Any Improvement? - November 16
DeMacio & The Draft: Part IV - The 2001 Draft: Seeds of Success? - October 10
DeMacio & The Draft: Part III - The 2000 Draft: Going Nowhere Fast - September 30
DeMacio & The Draft: Part II -The 1999 Draft: A Golden Opportunity Missed? - September 12
DeMacio & The Draft: Part I-Addendum: Breaking Down the First Round - August 31
DeMacio & The Draft: Part I -- Why the Top Rounds of the Draft Are the Key - August 27
The Last 300-Game Winner? - July 31...Don't blink and miss Maddux's accomplishment, it may not happen again
The State of the Club - July 21...Maybe 2004 hasn't been a train wreck after all
It Doesn't Get Any Worse Than This - June 16..."Prior to the start of the season, if I had drawn up a realistic, mid-June worst-case scenario for the Orioles' organization this year it would greatly resemble real life events as presently constituted..."
The DeJean Diaries - May 26...Inside the numbers: If anything, things are even worse than they seem
A Walk In the Park - May 11...Are there any predictors for young starting pitchers with control problems?
Lucky Charm - April 24...I listen to the game, the Orioles win; coincidence?
The Kiddie Corps - April 19...The Young O's Hurlers Had a Nice Weekend North of the Border
The Real Thing - April 5...Thoughts on Opening Night
Memories of Maz - April 3...Remembering Lee Mazzilli's early years with the Mets
The Problem with Standardized Testing - March 7...Syd Thrift's Lost Exam
The 900 Pound Gorilla - March 3...Steroids and Baseball
2004 Fantasy Camp--A fan's perspective - Feb. 10
2004 Fantasy Camp--Pro Games - Feb. 10
2004 Fantasy Camp--Semifinal Game -Feb. 10
2004 Fantasy Camp--Thursday's Report -Feb. 10
2004 Fantasy Camp-- Wednesday's Report -- Feb. 4
2004 Fantasy Camp-- Veteran's Tournament, Day 2 - Feb. 2
2004 Fantasy Camp... Veteran's Tournament Action, Day 1 - Jan. 31
2004 Fantasy Camp... Preparation - Jan. 30
The Injury That Changed Baseball - Jan. 27...Boone, The Boss and the Move Heard 'Round the World
The Case for Barry Bonds - Jan. 20...Not Merely a Great Player, Bonds is One of the Two or Three Greatest
Was He Lying Then or Is He Lying Now? - January 6... Pete Rose and the Art of Shamelessness
Kerry's Articles for 2003
Bandbox Revisited: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards - December 17...Never Let the Facts Get in the Way of a Good Stereotype
We Can All Shut Up Now - December 15...The Much-Maligned Orioles Front Office Makes the Franchise's Boldest Move...Maybe Ever
The Eighth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award - December 3...It's Fiesta Time!
Everything's Relative: The Orioles' 2003 Offense, in a Comparative Sense - November 20
He's Got a BIIIIIIGGGG Mouth! David Wells: Like Employer, Like Employee - October 25
On Defining Value: The Middle Letter in MVP - September 23...Examining what makes an MVP
A Single-Minded Offense - August 19...Scratching Beneath the Surface Uncovers Worrisome Signs for the O's Bats
The Other Side of the Story - August 2...The Ponson Deal, From Multiple Perspectives
So You Wanna Be A GM (er, VP of Baseball Operations)? - July 22...What to Do with One Sidney Alton Ponson
A Farewell to Arms - June 27...A mercifully brief look at the carnage that is the Orioles 2003 pitching staff.
The Glass is Half Full: Just the Good Stuff, Ma'am - June 14...There may be vague, misty signs that the Orioles minor league system is experiencing a tentative revival.
Whither Yankees? - June 10...Are we witnessing the seeds of impending doom in The Bronx?
The Organization that Snoozes, Loses - May 16...Player with some degree of marketability enters free agent season, unsigned, undealt...sound familiar?
Pitifully, Setting the Record Straight - May 13...A Backstop charlatan is revealed
Two Ex-Birds Flying for the Coop(erstown)? - May 9...Palmeiro and Mussina may be close to having their tickets punched
The Story So Far: Observations on the Season - April 28...A look around MLB after four weeks.
The False Choice of Sabermetrics - April 2...Why sabermetric and observational approaches to baseball analysis aren't inherently at odds.
Bored Meeting - March 21...An inside look, from the bowels of the Belfry's situation room.
Throw Us a Bone - January 31...One way of looking at the Orioles' off-season thus far.
This, Bud, Is for You - January 15...New plans from the Commissioner's Office.
Damn Yankees: Wins, Money, and a Mastodon-Sized Ego - January 6, 2003...A nuanced explanation of one person's feelings about the New York American League Ballclub.
Kerry's Articles for 2002
Breaking a Bad Habit - December 18...Put down that boulder and ask yourself if signing Deivi Cruz is worth getting your undies in a bundle.
The Price Ain't Right - November 23...The continuous, exploding price of attending big league games may already be having a long-term detrimental effect on interest in the grand old game.
The Seventh Annual Kerry's Piņata Award - November 11...This past season's fiesta implement is identified
Dissecting the Corpse - November 1...An in-depth look at the awful 2002 Orioles offense
Syd's Last Resort - October 10...The Orioles VP of Baseball Operations grants an "interview"
Off With Their Heads - September 10 ...It's time--long past time, really--for a change
Baseball's Amateur Draft: An Historical Series Part Four: The First Round, Team-By-Team - September 10
Say It Ain't So - August 22
Our Game - August 4...Let Major League Baseball's foibles ruin love of the game? Not on your life.
The Rumor Mill - July 14...Let's have some fun and look at the latest trade rumors that have come into the Belfry's war room.
The Favorite Toy, Episode II - July 3...Attention shifts to hitters, particularly prolific home run hitters.
When Winning is "Bush League" - June 23...Are legitimate baseball plays occasionally unfairly demonized?
The Favorite Toy - June 9...Bill James' threshold projection device brought to life.
New Evidence - May 24...Why, in light of what we know about draft failure, the Orioles should change their rebuilding strategy.
Baseball's Amateur Draft: An Historical Series Part Three: High School vs. College - May 16
The People's "Cherce"; Could It Be Worse? - May 2...Retaining Syd Thrift is preserving a losing tradition.
Baseball's Amateur Draft: An Historical Series Part Two: First Round Summary - April 26
"There's a Drive..." - April 8...A look at baseball's radio announcers in today's world of Internet broadcasting.
Potpourri - April 1...A few unrelated thoughts as we approach the witching hour of opening day at Camden Yards...
Baseball's Amateur Draft: An Historical Series Part One: Background on First Round Picks - March 23
Strategy, Tactics and the Road to Nowhere - March 18...The Orioles' treadmill and the reasons they're on it.
When They Were Good, They Were Very, Very Good, & When They Were Bad They Were Awful, Part II."
"When They Were Good They Were Very, Very Good and When they Were Bad They Were Awful: Part One: Awful" - February 21.. A look at historical trends involving baseball's best and worst teams, starting with the worst.
"Fantasy Camp Finale" - February 19.. A tribute to "The Rock," the 2002 camp champions, with pictures courtesy of John Reed, a member of the winning team.
OTHER FANTASY CAMP STORIES
Orioles All-Time OWP/ERA Leaders - January 24...The franchise leaders since 1954 in both categories
The Age of Greatness - January 14...How great players have performed as they've approached age 40
Next Hall of Fame Class? - January 8...Who'll be elected on the 2002 ballot?
KERRY'S CALCULUS 2001
Kerry's Calculus..."Bandbox Revisited, Redux...Part II: A Quantitative Examination of Camden Yards" - December 28
Kerry's Calculus...Strategy? STRATEGY? WE DON'T NEED NO STEENKEENG STRATEGY! - December 5
Kerry's Calculus...The Sixth Annual Kerry's Piņata Award - November 26
Kerry's Calculus...MVP: Most Vacuous Pick? - November 24
Kerry's Calculus...Eliminating Run Support: Neutral Wins and Losses - November 11
Kerry's Calculus...There But for the Grace of Bud... - November 8
Kerry's Calculus...A Long Last Look Part II - October 28
Kerry's Calculus...A Long Last Look Part I - October 18
Kerry's Calculus...The Greatest Offensive Season in Major League History - October 8
Kerry's Calculus...Minor League Club, Minor League Understanding, Major League Problem - August 30 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...Why We Root - August 22
Kerry's Calculus...A Vanishing Art: Why Complete Games are Going the Way of the Dodo - August 3 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...My Dinner With Syd - July 25 (Parody)
Kerry's Calculus...The Story So Far - July 10
Kerry's Calculus...Windy City Wistfulness - July 2
Kerry's Calculus...The First Day of the Rest of Cal Ripken's Life - July 2
Kerry's Calculus...If Kiner's in the Hall, Belle's Gotta Be Too...or Does He? - June 12 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY: COMPARISONS--May 24 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY: 1987-95--May 14 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...Moose Musings--May 7
Kerry's Calculus...When the End is Near--April 28
Kerry's Calculus...THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY: THE EARLY 1980's (1980-86)--April 19 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus..."A Multi-Faceted Problem"--April 13...a (shudder) statistical look at the O's lack of "O" (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus..."Week One Observations"- April 9
Kerry's Calculus..."Thursday Night's Game: The View From the Tube"- April 6
Kerry's Calculus..."THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY: THE 1970's (1972-79)" - April 1 (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...Mar 25..."ORIOLES DRAFT HISTORY SIDEBAR: WHERE THE DYNASTY CAME FROM" (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...Mar 22..."THE ORIOLES' AMATEUR DRAFT HISTORY: THE EARLY YEARS (1965-71)" (Strategy and Stats)
Kerry's Calculus...Mar 20..."The Orioles' Amateur Draft History: An Introduction" (Strategy and Stats)